The irony of the IISS Shangri-La Dialogue in Singapore pledging support for a 鈥渘uclear free Asia Pacific鈥, while defence officials and ASEAN leaders talked up the AUKUS deal was lost on the mainstream media.
The revealed the hypocrisy. They said they are committed 鈥渢o achiev[ing] a world free of nuclear weapons and to strengthening the global nuclear non-proliferation and disarmament regime with the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons as its cornerstone鈥.
Australia is a signatory to the 1963 Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT), which acknowledges that 鈥渢he proliferation of nuclear weapons would seriously enhance the danger of nuclear war鈥.
But it is yet to sign on to the and seems reluctant to do so, presumably because the United States has not (and neither have other nuclear powers).
While acting Singaporean Prime Minister Lawrence Wong and Anthony Albanese agreed 鈥渢he use, or threat of use, of nuclear weapons is serious and inadmissible鈥 and 鈥渃alled for urgent implementation of nuclear risk reduction measures鈥, the AUKUS deal, in fact, does the opposite.
Crossing themselves, they quoted the聽January 2022 comments from five leaders of nuclear weapons鈥 states: 鈥淎 nuclear war cannot be won and must never be fought鈥.
The PM has sought to drum up support for AUKUS as being an 鈥渦pgrade鈥 to 鈥渄efence鈥 and an 鈥渙pportunity鈥 for jobs and skills and the shipbuilding industry in Australia. Canberra鈥檚 commitment to shell out upwards of $368 billion on nuclear-powered submarines in the middle of a cost-of-living and housing crisis has been the trigger for greater investigation into what else AUKUS has committed Australia to.
There was no public or parliamentary discussion on AUKUS and neither was it part of the major parties鈥 election campaigns. So, the details are only slowly coming out.
But the changes are significant.
United States Ambassador and former Labor PM is helping lobby US Congress to change the law to categorise Australia as a US .
He told the Centre for Strategic and International Studies on June 6 that 鈥渙ur critical task in the course of 2023 is to work with our friends in the administration and the United States Congress to support the passage of the key elements of the enabling legislation. This is not just a piece of admin detail鈥.
Rudd believes Australia is 鈥渆ntering a phase鈥 which has been 鈥渂rought about by a radical change in our strategic circumstances with the rise of China鈥.
He said the Defence Strategic Review makes it clear Australia must 鈥渞each out further鈥 into the 鈥渟outhwest Pacific, Southeast Asia鈥 and 鈥渋nto the wider Indian Ocean more broadly and beyond where necessary鈥.
Apart from the AUKUS submarines, about 鈥漷he creation soon of a seamless Australia-US-UK defence, science and technology industry鈥 鈥 the interoperabilty of three imperialist militaries and Australia stepping up its manufacturing of weapons and components.
Abandon nuclear safety?
Meanwhile Labor is pushing to abandon nuclear safety elements of two environmental laws.
The was introduced on May 10 and sent to a committee. If it passes, as it probably will with bipartisan support, it will exempt nuclear plants on nuclear-propelled submarines from the and the .
Despite the concern about AUKUS, a record short time for submissions meant that in, including 23 from unions, anti-war, environmental and faith-based groups. Most were which opposed the changes.
Retired Major General Michael A Smith, Adjunct Professor at the Key Centre for Ethics, Law, Justice and Governance at Griffith University and on the National Consultative Committee on International Security Issues to the Foreign Minister, was unapologetic in his criticism of Albanese and foreign minister Penny Wong.
Together with Professor John Langmore, Smith (submission 23), he said Australia is 鈥渓ocked on a collision course to war with China in support of the United States鈥. He said the assumption underlying AUKUS 鈥 that Chinese assertiveness will automatically lead to military aggression 鈥 鈥渋s shallow鈥.
Albanese has not provided an opportunity for public discussion about AUKUS and, in opposition, 鈥渋rresponsibly accepted the plan only after overnight consideration鈥, Smith and Langmore wrote.
They said Albanese 鈥渁dopted the same autocratic approach to AUKUS as Morrison鈥 with no opportunity for political or public reconsideration before the detailed AUKUS framework was announced by Albanese, US President Joe Biden and British PM Rishi Sunak.
China military threat?
鈥淭he fact that two of the three national leaders changed in the 18 months between the first announcement and March 鈥23 shows the political vulnerability of the plan,鈥 they said, adding that British Labour voted by a large majority at its 2021 National Conference to reject AUKUS and it is on track to win the next elections due before early 2025.
鈥淲ell-informed scholarly experts on China conclude there is no聽military threat,鈥 they argued. 鈥淎ustralia should not acquire weapons systems that are clearly intended to supplement US forces to contain China. This means that we should not procure overly expensive nuclear-powered submarines and/or long-range missile systems.鈥
The Australian Manufacturers Workers Union (AMWU) (submission 6), the Electrical Trades Union (ETU) (submission 7), health practitioners, anti-war activists and faith groups argued the current moratorium on nuclear power has to remain.
Amendments to the two environmental laws would lead to the development of the nuclear industry in Australia or lead to a breach of the moratorium 鈥 a point Coalition MPs emphasised in the positive in the bill's first and second readings.
AMWU national secretary Steve Murphy said in the union鈥檚 submission that it supports the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons and Australia鈥檚 鈥渃ommitment not to receive, manufacture or otherwise acquire nuclear weapons鈥.
The ETU supports 鈥渢he establishment of nuclear weapon-free zones in our region鈥 and does 鈥渘ot support any changes to legislation that would facilitate a breach of our international commitments to international non-proliferation 鈥 or to the dumping of nuclear waste on Australian facilities or on Australian land鈥.
The ETU submission argued that while Labor 鈥渋nherited鈥 AUKUS from the Coalition 鈥渢here is no broad public support for the decision to acquire nuclear submarines nor is there consensus within the defence establishment or parliament鈥.
It pointed out that there was no detail, in either the bill or the explanatory memoranda, as to what work or activity 鈥渘eeds to occur and by when鈥 that the existing laws prevent.
The ETU reaffirmed it does not support the 鈥渨atering down of long-standing nuclear prohibitions to allow for the acquisition of nuclear-powered submarines鈥.
It said it was 鈥渟eriously鈥 concerned about the 鈥渆rosion of these prohibitions for military undermines the peaceful intent of the Treaty for the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons鈥.
It warned of the safety risks to workers and sailors from 鈥渄angerous high level nuclear waste requiring costly management for tens of thousands of years鈥.
The ETU is one of the unions which has strongly opposed AUKUS 鈥 a debate which will also be had at in August.
Smith and Langmore believe Paul Keating is correct to say that AUKUS (and the Defence Strategic Review) 鈥渞elegates Australia鈥檚 sovereignty鈥. 鈥淭here is no doubt that given the absence of a credible nuclear industry in Australia and the time required to develop this capability that the procurement of nuclear-powered submarines would put Australia鈥檚 defence under an unacceptable level of American control.
鈥淢any countries which seek peace would regard this abandonment of sovereignty as misguided because it increases the risks of being drawn into an unwanted war and ultimately contributing to the proliferation of nuclear weapons.鈥
[A Rally for Peace, not War 鈥 No nuclear subs, no AUKUS protest is being organised by the outside Labor鈥檚 national conference in Brisbane on August 18.]