With confirmation that 100% of New South Wales is now officially in drought, it is clear that the federal government’s climate change denial is putting agriculture and the planet at risk.
Agriculture minister David Littleproud reckons “it’s a big call” to say that the drought ravaging large parts of the country is linked to human-induced climate change.
On ABC’s Q&A on August 6, Littleproud wheeled out the old argument that climate change occurs regardless of human activity: “Farmers have been dealing with climate change since we first put a till in the soil — since we first started agriculture — and we’ve been adapting”.
National Party Senator Barnaby Joyce, who represents the drought-stricken region of New England, that same day that the drought is “a natural disaster” and that lowering emissions will have no effect on climate change: “Do you honestly believe what we do in Canberra is going to change the climate? It’s not.”
Littleproud and Joyce’s denialism are just the latest examples of the government’s refusal to take serious action on climate change. Its alignment with big fossil fuel and mining interests means it prefers to fiddle around while Australia burns — along with the rest of the world.
Climate change knows no borders. What Australia is experiencing is part of a global crisis.
People are dying in record numbers in heatwaves in Japan, Canada and parts of Europe.
California is experiencing wildfires so intense that they have created their own weather events, including tornadoes.
Devastating fires are destroying lives and land across parts of Europe and burning as far north as the Arctic Circle.
On current trends, the world may face catastrophic warming within a generation or two, with large parts of the planet becoming uninhabitable and major food growing regions facing ruin by drought or rising seas.
A recent study by leading international climate scientists, , concludes that even if the target set in the global Paris Agreement on climate change of a 1.5-2°C rise in temperature is met, the risk still exists “that a cascade of feedbacks could push the Earth system irreversibly onto a 'hothouse Earth' pathway.”
This could lead to average temperatures up to 5°C higher than pre-industrial levels and rises in sea level of 10-60 metres. At that point much of the Earth would be uninhabitable.
This frightening revelation is not new, however.
Thirty years ago, NASA scientist James Hansen testified to US Congress that .
We also now know that Big Oil knew as far back as the late 1970s that burning fossil fuels was causing climate change. In May 1981, in , company scientist Henry Shaw estimated that global temperatures would rise by 3°C if a doubling of carbon dioxide emissions occurred, with the potential to cause catastrophic impacts as early as the first half of the 21st century.
The authors of the Trajectories report propose to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from fossil fuels and other sources, including: replacing fossil fuels with low or zero emissions energy sources; reducing emissions from agriculture; reducing production of chemicals such as HFCs; reducing cement use; and increasing resource use efficiency, including reducing waste and using waste as a resource stream.
But to implement these measures will require taking on powerful corporate interests. To succeed, we need to build a mass movement that has the power to bring them to heel.
We have already seen what can be achieved when people organise and combine in numbers – look at the success of the Bentley Blockade, the Franklin Dam campaign, the Lock the Gate movement and the Stop Adani campaign.
Activists will be mobilising around the globe on September 8 as part of the .
Locally, activists are preparing to take action around coal exports in Newcastle over September 12-15 and local Stop Adani groups are campaigning to stop the federal government from giving Adani up to $1 billion in taxpayer money through the Export Finance and Insurance Corporation (EFIC).
Building these campaigns is a key part of this process.
Moreover, turning this situation around permanently will require a radical shift: one that takes us beyond the current political, economic and social system that puts profits ahead of human survival – capitalism – to a system that is ecologically sustainable and people-centred – socialism.
[Read the Socialist Alliance’s . Susan Price is a national co-convenor of the Socialist Alliance.]