罢丑别听聽on October 11 that the government does not have to consider climate impacts when deciding whether to approve new fossil fuel projects. Environment minister Tanya Plibersek celebrated the court win alongside two coal companies.
Less than a week later,聽聽in a 24-hour period in Queensland.
Two weeks and 1000 fires after that, emergency management minister Murray Watt illustrated the art of stating the obvious : 鈥淭he number of fires and the scale of them is quite worrying for this time of year.鈥
The coming summer will be the first of the current聽,聽which typically results in hotter global average temperatures. Thus, the bushfire risk will be greater in the coming Australian summer than the last two (and greater again the year after that).
Labor MPs purport to be tackling the climate emergency but their policy measures are making the problem worse.
For instance, Plibersek has approved聽聽since May last year and more than聽聽overall. After the government鈥檚 court win, more are on the way.
This is despite fossil fuels unambiguously being the cause of climate crisis.
鈥淢ark my words: it鈥檚 all still just getting started,鈥 NASA climate scientist Peter Kalmus聽,聽referring to the level of聽climate breakdown. 鈥淪o long as we burn fossil fuels, far, far worse is on the way.鈥
鈥淭he only way out of this heat nightmare is to end [fossil fuels],鈥 Kalmus wrote. 鈥淣o amount of tree planting, recycling, carbon offsetting, or wishful carbon-capture thinking will ever change this.鈥
Recent analysis by leading climate scientist James Hansen and colleagues underscores the seriousness.
Global warming in the pipeline听飞补蝉听聽on November 2. The paper argues that 鈥渦nder the present geopolitical approach to greenhouse gas emissions, global warming will exceed 1.5掳C in the 2020s and 2掳C before 2050鈥.
鈥淚mpacts on people and nature will accelerate as global warming increases weather extremes.鈥
The paper devotes a big focus to assess the role of aerosols in disguising the level of global heating that has already happened. Aerosols are fine particles, including the air pollution that comes from burning fossil fuels.
Aerosols have a slight cooling effect. This means that global heating would already have been much worse without the air pollution generated by burning fossil fuels.
(Deliberately creating aerosols is not a solution. Air pollution already kills 8 million people a year,聽. More significantly, the heating effect of burning fossil fuels is bigger than the cooling effect of the aerosols.)
聽before its formal publication, Hansen and his colleagues argue that the record-breaking temperatures in the current聽El Ni帽o聽鈥渋mplies a strong acceleration of global warming鈥 which, they explain, is likely due to 鈥渁 decrease of human-made aerosols as a result of reductions in China and from ship emissions鈥.
鈥淭hus, if this El Nino peak is as high as we project it will be 鈥 the 1.5掳C global warming level will have been reached, for all practical purposes.鈥
This is worrying enough, however climate change is only one of nine 鈥減lanetary boundaries鈥.
Planetary boundaries define a safe operating space for humanity and include climate change, biosphere integrity, biogeochemical flows (nitrogen and phosphorous cycles), ocean acidification and others.
For the first time, new research in September 聽all nine planetary boundaries. 鈥淪ix of nine planetary boundaries are being transgressed,鈥 the researchers concluded, 鈥渨hile pressure in all those boundary processes is increasing鈥.
鈥淣ext to climate change, integrity of the biosphere is the second pillar of stability for our planet,鈥 according to co-author Wolfgang Lucht. 鈥淥ur research shows that mitigating global warming and saving a functional biosphere for the future should go hand in hand.鈥
Despite the bleak news they deliver, climate scientists such as Peter Kalmus are still fighting. 鈥淚 have not given up, and I never will,鈥 he聽. 鈥淣o matter how much we鈥檝e lost, it will never be too late to fight.鈥
The nationwide November 17 student-led聽聽and the November 24鈥27聽blockade of the Newcastle coal port聽are opportunities to be a part of this fight. It's never too late.
[Alex Bainbridge is a member of the national executive.]