David Spratt 补苍诲听Ian Dunlop argue that the government is not聽up to speed on the latest climate science聽and its risk assessment process is out of time.
David Spratt
The first Arctic ice-free summer could be in the 2030s, a decade earlier than projections reported by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.聽David Spratt writes we should not be shocked.
The聽market mechanism聽models that underpin climate policymaking have failed聽and an era of climate disruption is now upon us, argues聽David Spratt.
There was a dangerous underestimation of the scale of the climate crisis we face at COP26,聽argues聽David Spratt. Targets for 2025 补苍诲听2030 need to be the focus.
Episode 4 of the 91自拍论坛 Show features David Spratt, Pip Hinman and Kamala Emanuel discussing the climate targets we need today.
Climate change is 鈥渁 current and existential national security risk鈥, according to a . It says an existential risk is 鈥渙ne that threatens the premature extinction of Earth-originating intelligent life or the permanent and drastic destruction of its potential for desirable future development鈥. These are strong words.
Global warming of 1.5掳C is imminent, likely in just a decade from now. David Spratt reviews several recent studies that point to this alarming conclusion.
So how does hitting warming of 1.5掳C one decade from now square with the 2015 Paris Agreement鈥檚 goal of 鈥渉olding the increase in the global average temperature to well below 2掳C above pre-industrial levels and pursuing efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5掳C鈥?
In two words, it doesn鈥檛.
Last year was by far the hottest year in the observation record, with the global average surface temperature 1.24掳 Celcuis warmer than the late nineteenth century, according to . This broke the record set the previous year of 1.12掳C, which in turn broke the previous mark set in 2014 of 1.01掳C.
Although the El Nino conditions of 2015鈥16 had some influence 鈥 perhaps 0.2掳C 鈥 it is clear that the warming trend is 1掳C or more.
The warnings were clear and now it鈥檚 happened: bending over backwards with carbon tax compensation to appease Australia's dirtiest electricity generators, the Gillard government has handed big coal billions in windfall profits, whilst consumers are effectively paying twice for the carbon price.
The global community is supposed to be negotiating an agreement to contain greenhouse gas emissions to manageable levels. But with less than two months to the Copenhagen climate change conference, the big players are stuck in an elaborate game of chicken.
Can we expect decent climate policy when most of the decision-making elite are ignorant of the real scientific imperatives, or believe they can negotiate with the laws of physics and chemistry? The answer is bleak, judging by the lead-up talks to the climate summit in Copenhagen in December.
PM Kevin Rudd聮s announced changes to the proposed Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme (CPRS) has again split the climate movement, and this time it聮s very serious, with three large, rusted-on-to-Labor groups running cover for an appalling policy that won聮t guarantee a reduction in Australian emissions for decades.
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